Eagles vs. Bears 2019 odds: Chicago clear betting favorite

Will the Detroit Lions win OVER/UNDER 6.5 games? By University Stats Prof!

Will the Detroit Lions win OVEUNDER 6.5 games? By University Stats Prof!

1. Introduction

After firing Jim Caldwell following a 9-7 record in 2017, the Lions posted a 6-10 in Matt Patricia’s first year as a head coach. Things got even worse last season with a 3-12-1 record.

This is a critical year for Patricia. The team has talent for sure. If he does not right the ship, he may be gone sooner rather than later.

2. Regular Season Wins

According to sportsbooks, the Detroit Lions are expected to win 6.5 games this season. Should we bet the “over” or the “under”?

Here is the methodology I used in order to answer this vital question:

Here are the results:

Estimated probability Sportsbook Odds ROI
OVER 6.5 wins 55.9% Sports Interaction -125 +0.6%
UNDER 6.5 wins 44.1% Heritage Sports +130 +1.4%

Tip: Bet UNDER 6.5 wins
Return On Investment (ROI): +1.4%
Rank: 31st-highest ROI out of 32 teams
Minimum odds required to bet (i.e. ROI = 0%): +127

Here are BetOnline’s point spreads for the Lions’ 16 regular season games:
HOME: -1.5 vs CHI, +2 vs GB, -1 vs HOU, +1.5 vs IND, +2 vs MIN, +5.5 vs NO, +2.5 vs TB, -6 vs WAS.
ROAD: +3 @ ARI, +4 @ ATL, +1 @ CAR, +5 @ CHI, +6.5 @ GB, -1.5 @ JAX, +7 @ MIN, +6 @ TEN.

Note: The “Best odds” from the table above were obtained after looking at 13 well-known online sportsbooks on May 18th, 2020.

3. Offensive Position-by-Position Breakdown

3.1 QUARTERBACKS (QB)

I feel bad for Matthew Stafford. He has to be one of the best quarterbacks to have never won a playoff game. He’s 0-3 in the postseason and has played for many terrible teams in Detroit during his 11-year career.

He had yet another good season in 2019. He finished as the 8th-best QB in the league based on PFF rankings. He missed half the season because of injuries, but still threw 19 TD passes versus 5 picks. Prior to last year, he had not missed a single start over eight seasons, which is unbelievable! He’s a durable and tough guy.

David Blough and Jeff Driskel didn’t do very well in Stafford’s absence. That’s a big reason why the team led Driskel go, while acquiring backup Chase Daniel from the Bears. I was stunned to realize that after spending 10 years in the NFL, Daniel has only thrown 7 TDs and 5 interceptions (most of them in 2018 and 2019 with Chicago). He received decent grades from PFF and he looks to be a definitive improvement over Blough and Driskel.

3.2 RUNNING BACKS (RB)

I like what I’ve been from Kerryon Johnson over his first two seasons in the NFL. In each of those years, the former running back from Auburn was on pace to be close to a 1,000 rushing yard season, but his pro career has been marred by injuries thus far.

Beyond the stats, I thought he passed the eye test. Upon seeing him play several games, he looked like a good back. In his third year, the main goal will be to prove he can make it through a full season.

Johnson received a 66.7 grade from PFF last year, which put him in the #37 spot out of 58 RBs. I believe he can make a nice jump in 2020.

Bo Scarbrough finally saw some action last season. He did “okay”, but his main limitation is in the passing game. He’s not much of a receiver. He’s still a decent weapon to have when running between the tackles because of his big frame.

J.D. McKissic was the opposte of Scarbrough; he is undersized, but a good pass catcher. He still managed to post a lofty 5.4 yard per carry average, while catching 34 balls. However, he left for Washington.

Considering Detroit’s backfield was already crowded, drafting D’Andre Swift in the 2nd round was a puzzling move. It probably means the Lions will go with a committee approach with Johnson and Swift being the RB 1A and 1B.

Swift is a smart RB who has good vision and runs with patience; he understands and evaluates block timing very well. He is also pretty good out of the backfield; he caught many passes in college and was tagged with just three drops across 73 receptions.

3.3 WIDE RECEIVERS (WR)

Can you believe Kenny Golladay’s salary was under one million last year? What an astonishing bargain for the Lions!

Golladay solidified his position as one of the top wideouts in the league by posting a second consecutive 1,000-yard season. He also doubled his TD production by catching 11 last year versus 5 the year before.

He has a great combination of size and athleticism, which allows him to stretch the field and make contested catches in traffic. His numbers have the potential to increase even more if Stafford can stay healthy for the whole season, and considering Golladay is only 26 years old.

Marvin Jones posted a very nice 62-779-9 stat line despite missing three games. He has been a steady producer in this league, both with the Bengals and now with the Lions. A very reliable guy.

Danny Amendola has never been a top wideout: his career best is 689 receiving yards back in 2010. However, having him as your #3 receiver is a nice luxury. The main concern pertains to his age, as he is now 34. His level of play has not deteriorated yet, but we should keep an eye on this situation.

The team added even more depth by signing a younger guy: Geronimo Allison. The former Packer showed flashes during an injury-shortened 2018 season, but he really fell flat last year by catching just 34 balls despite a wide open #2 WR spot in Green Bay. He received poor grades from PFF and finished as the #111 receiver out of 122 qualifiers.

3.4 TIGHT ENDS (TE)

Was T.J. Hockenson’s rookie season a success? The jury is still out on that one.

Everyone got overly excited about his first career game, where he caught 6 passes for 131 yards and 1 TD. However, he surpassed 50 yards just once in his final 11 games (an ankle injury put him on injured reserve for the last four contests).

He was the #8 overall pick in the 2019 draft, so the expectations were high for the former Hawkeye. The adaptation to the NFL-level is not always easy for rookie tight ends, so let’s cut him some slack. He is a candidate to improve his numbers greatly in his second season, especially with Stafford back under center.

Both Logan Thomas and Jesse James caught 16 passes last year. Thomas left for Washington, which leaves James as the clear-cut #2 TE. He is an adequate backup for Detroit.

3.5 OFFENSIVE LINE (OL)

Right tackle Rick Wagner provided respectable protection to his quarterbacks during his first six seasons, but his play tailed off dramatically last year. The team released him and signed Halapoulivaati Vaitai to replace him.

Vaitai has only started 20 games in four seasons, but he played pretty well in spots with the Eagles last year and that earned him a jaw-dropping five-year, $50 million contract. That seems like a high price for a career backup, but he did grade as the 22nd-best tackle among 81 qualifiers in 2019. We’ll see if the Lions made a wise investment or not.

The other four starters all received good marks from PFF: Taylor Decker (19th out of 81 tackles), Frank Ragnow (6th out of 37 centers), Graham Glasgow (12th out of 81 guards) and Joe Dahl (27th out of 81 guards). Yet, the team finished below-average in terms of sacks allowed (19th out of 32 teams).

The bad news is Detroit also lost Graham Glasgow via free agency. He signed with the Denver Broncos. He has obtained grades above 70 by PFF in each of its past three seasons. His replacement is unlikely to match that performance.

One potential replacement is third round selection Jonah Jackson. He needs to improve as a run blocker since he tends to struggle sustaining blocks. On the other hand, he’s more comfortable in passing situations, while also excelling at processing blitzes.

2020 VS 2019 OFFENSE

The Lions scored the 18th most points in the NFL last season. That output is much more likely to go up than down.

Except on the offensive line, we notice a potential upgrade over the 2019 season at all positions.

At quarterback, having Stafford back is obviously a big boost. Also, Chase Daniel is a better back than the Blough-Driskel duo.

At running back, Kerryon Johnson missed half the season. He also has two years of experience under his belt and is ready to explode. Rookie D’Andre Swift offers an additional potential deadly weapon.

Adding Geronimo Allison to an already talent WR group won’t hurt. Golladay-Jones-Amendola will provide good targets for Stafford.

Hockenson is now more familiar with the NFL speed and it was reported he played through some pain before landing on injured reserve. Again, an improvement seems a more likely scenario than a regression here.

As mentioned above, the OL play will be a source of concern, though. Replacing Wagner with Vaitai could be a plus. However, Glasgow’s loss will be difficult to compensate.

Still, overall I can see the Lions jumping to the 7th-12th rank on offense in 2020. You read this right; the Lions could have the number 7 offense in the NFL. They have a very talented and underrated group (with nice depth at all positions!).

Final call (2020 vs 2019): Moderate upgrade

4. Defensive Position-by-Position Breakdown

4.1 DEFENSIVE LINEMEN (DL)

The interior of the line has been completely revamped. That may not be a bad thing.

Both Damon Harrison and A’Shawn Robinson are gone after a subpar year. They both graded as below-average last year, which was a big surprise in the case of Harrison. He obtained a grade above 90 as a run defender in each of its past four seasons, but cratered to 63.2 last year. What the heck happened?

The newcomers are Danny Shelton, formerly of the Patriots, and Nick Williams, coming over from the Bears.

Shelton has done very well in all five of his seasons in the league and is entering his prime. He’s a solid addition and he’s good a plugging up running lanes.

I’m not so high on the Williams acquisition, though. He didn’t get good grades throughout his career until last year where he finally got some starts and posted six sacks. He could be a one-year wonder. He had been a journeyman thus far and is a former 7th-round pick.

Mike Daniels is also off the team. The former didn’t do much in his lone season in Motor City.

4.2 DEFENSIVE ENDS (DE) / EDGE (ED)

Both Trey Flowers and Devon Kennard recorded seven sacks last season. Kennard left for Arizona; his leadership as team captain will also be missed.

Flowers is a vital piece of this defense. He will enter his age-27 campaign and he has racked up between 6.5 and 7.5 sacks every year since 2016.

Who will step up in Kennard’s absence? Romeo Okwara will need to come back to his 2018 form, where he posted 7.5 sacks. Only getting 1.5 last year was a big disappointment.

Another alternative may come from Romeo’s younger brother, Julian, who was taken in the 3rd round of this year’s draft. Considering Julian’s speed and strength (the bull rush remains his favorite move), you would have expected him to produce more in college. He still needs to learn good techniques to beat experienced offensive linemen.

4.3 LINEBACKERS (LB)

Jarrad Davis, Christian Jones and Jahlani Tavai all played a bit above 50% of the defensive snaps last year. They ranked as the #84, #82 and #44 linebackers out of 89 guys. That’s bad.

The position will get a lift with the acquisition of Jamie Collins. He led the Patriots with seven sacks last season, which was a career-high for him.

I don’t mean to be disrespectful for him, but I believe he’s overrated. He enjoyed great 2014 and 2015 seasons in New England, but his played tailed off big time in his time away from the Patriots in 2016, 2017 and 2018. He came back with a pretty good season when reuniting with Belichick’s squad last year, but will he revert back to mediocre play in Detroit?

Super Bowl champion Reggie Ragland also joins Matt Patricia’s team. He adds depth to the team and may play behind Jarrad Davis.

4.4 CORNERBACKS (CB)

Last year, the trio made of Darius Slay, Rashaan Melvin and Justin Coleman saw the field pretty often.

Slay and Melvin are gone to other teams. Slay had a very bad year as opposed to his previous five, but that may have been an outlier. He’s 29 years old and he’s likely to rebound in Philly. He asked to be traded after fights over contract negotiations.

Unlike Slay, Melvin won’t be missed too much. He was an undrafted guy who is more of a rotational corner.

In order to alleviate Slay’s loss, the Lions signed Desmond Trufant, formerly of the Falcons. His best days are behind him, but he has never received a grade below 69.5 by PFF over his seven-year career, which is remarkable. Last year’s 70.3 grade put him as the 32nd-best corner out of 112 qualifiers.

The team’s instant #1 corner is rookie Jefffrey Okudah, who was taken with the third overall selection of this year’s draft. He’s a true lockdown corner who is likely to perform at a high level right away.

Over the last two seasons at Ohio State, he held every wideout he faced to fewer than 50 receiving yards. He also surrendered just two touchdowns during that time frame. Those are outstanding numbers!

Okudah is a blue chip prospect whose mental makeup and physical traits are elite.

4.5 SAFETIES (S)

Safeties Tracy Walker and Tavon Wilson led the team in tackles last year. They both played close to 75% of the snaps and obtained similar marks from PFF. They finished 22nd and 26th out of 87 safeties in the league. As of now, Wilson has yet to sign with a NFL team. He is open to re-signing with Detroit, but that has yet to happen.

The team decided to upgrade the position by acquiring Duron Harmon, yet another ex-Patriot. He can play safety or as a corner; he is likely to be on the field often. He may not be the best against the run, but his skills in coverage are way above average.

2020 VS 2019 DEFENSE

There’s been a lot of shuffling with this unit during the offseason.

The biggest acquisitions are Danny Shelton, Nick Williams, Jamie Collins, Desmond Trufant, Duron Harmon, as well as #3 overall pick Jeffrey Okudah. The biggest losses are Damon Harrison, A’Shawn Robinson, Devon Kennard, Darius Slay and Rashaan Melvin.

My own assessment of those moves is a moderate upgrade.

However, I value continuity as a key factor in the NFL. Knowing how your teammates are going to react in game-time situations is important in such a fast sport like the NFL.

Considering the impact of COVID-19 on offseason preparation, having numerous new faces will likely penalize offenses/defenses even more.

Detroit’s defense finished 26th in points allowed last year. They will remain the team’s Achilles heel, but a significant improvement is doable.

Final call (2020 vs 2019): Moderate upgrade

MOST LIKELY RECORD: 7-9
(based on the one-million simulated seasons using BetOnline’s 2020 point spreads)

Tomorrow, I'll discuss the team whose ROI is 30th in the league; the New Orleans Saints!

Thanks for reading, I hope you found it insightful!

Professor MJ
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What Georgia Bulldog are we drafting this year?

It’s not a big secret that Ryan Pace has a fascination with the Georgia Bulldogs, so with an estimated 7 Bulldogs being drafted in the first 200 picks, let’s take a look at the possible Chicago Bears for next season and their estimated draft positions:
Bears Draft Picks
Here’s where the Bears will be picking in the 2020 NFL Draft barring any further trades
Friday, April 24
Round 2 – Pick 11, 43rd overall (from Raiders)
Round 2 – Pick 18, 50th overall
Saturday, April 25
5th Round – Pick 18, 163rd overall
6th Round – Pick 17, 196th overall
6th Round – Pick 21, 200th overall (from the Eagles)
So with these picks in mind, let’s review the Georgia Bulldogs, their estimated Draft Spots and the likelihood that the Bears draft them:
Unlikely to be Bears
No. 4 overall, OT Andrew Thomas
No. 10 overall, QB Jake Fromm
While OT Andrew Thomas and QB Jake Fromm (State Farm) are talented players, the Bears first pick is no where near their estimated draft spots.
Possible Bears
No. 57 overall, OG Solomon Kindley
Solomon Kindley is an interesting prospect, he is talented, fills a need, and most importantly is within our draft spots. One interesting thing to note is that it’s been said that teams this year are seeing the later rounds as full of talent for the O Line. Solomon Kindley will be drafted barring anything crazy happening, but it might be a stretch for the Bears to pick him up.
No. 61 overall, SS J.R. Reed
J.R. Reed is possibly my favorite SS prospect, and certainly the most talented SS available in the late 2nd round. If I were a betting man, I would say J.R. Reed is the most likely Bulldog to become a Chicago Bear. Looking at his Stats from college, he certainly fits the mold for a Strong Safety. At 6’1, 194 pounds and with a 4.54 40 time, he closely resembles Adrian Amos Combine performance. While not having a great combine grade (5.94), I think he’s better then he gets credit for.
No. 66 overall RB D’Andre Swift
Chicago Bear D’Andre Swift? It’s not likely, the RB position is definitely not the one of greatest need this year. For my money, though, he would be a great Fantasy pick up in the later rounds depending on the team that he goes to.
No. 131 overall OG Ben Cleveland
If there is a player to hope to fall to the 163(or a classic Pace trade up) Ben Cleveland is one of those possibly start able late round Line prospects that I mentioned Earlier. Definitely talented in college, at 6’6 and 335 pounds he could certainly make a jump. One area of concern was that he was unable to play this year due to academic issues and that doesn’t really fit the Ryan Pace model.
No. 138 overall DT Tyler Clark
Finally we come to DT Tyler Clark. Stats wise for a college DT, his Numbers aren’t going to blow you away. He would represent the depth that is traditionally found at this stage on the draft, if we were to draft him.
In conclusion, I think it’s likely the Bears draft J.R. Reed, he’s talented, a Bulldog, could play opposite Eddie Jackson at a position of need, and his draft price is right (if not a bit of an over reach). That being said, there mercifully aren’t any Georgia WR declared for the draft, so we at least don’t have to worry about that.
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100+ Matchup Notes for Week 11

Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions

Matchup Notes:

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5)

Matchup Notes:

Buffalo Bills (-6.5) at Miami Dolphins

Matchup Notes:

Denver Broncos at Minnesota Vikings (-10)

Matchup Notes:

New Orleans Saints (-5.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup Notes:

New York Jets at Washington Redskins (-2.5)

Matchup Notes:

Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers (-4.5)

Matchup Notes:

Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens (-4)

Matchup Notes:

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-10.5)

Matchup Notes:

Cincinnati Bengals at Oakland Raiders (-11.5)

Matchup Notes:

New England Patriots (-3.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup Notes:

Chicago Bears at Los Angeles Rams (-6)

Matchup Notes:

Kansas City Chiefs (-4) at Los Angeles Chargers (Mexico City)

Matchup Notes:
Hey all, here is this week's matchup notes pulled from the weekly NFL pick'em article over at FantasyData.com. The best way to get the most out of this is to simply look for the players in the matchup that you may have questions about this week and hopefully you'll find some answers there. There are also some nuggets in here for sports betting in case you're looking to put money on any gams this week, but they can also be really helpful for fantasy as well. If you've been following this post every week, first of all, thank you! But just a heads up, I have a bye next week so there won't be any notes for Week 12. Good luck this week!
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I Wrote The Playoff Gambling Manifesto For 2020

Edit: Just saw the article in The Outline about this sub. As I worked on this for the better part of an hour, I'm gonna leave it up.
It's been nearly two years since the last Gambling Manifesto was posted to TheRinger.com. And while I hope Bill is enjoying retirement, I am enough of a degenerate gambler and pop culture consumer that I feel able to make a copy of a copy of Bill's classic work. Even more importantly, I'm a person who misses Bill's writing so much, that I decided to be the Vladimir Lenin to Bill's Karl Marx and take someone else's well-thought-out-but controversial manifesto, run with it and ultimately end up creating something that will horrify much of Western civilization.
So please enjoy the 2020 edition of the Gamblers Manifesto version 5.0, written by me, u/IReviewFakeAlbums
RULE NO. 1: Beware the "Looked a Little Too Good the Previous Round" team
Both favorites on the NFC Wildcard side of the bracket are unlikely to fall into this category. The lines for both games feel a little low. I realize that Doug Pederson is still the coach of the Eagles, but when you are starting Corey Coleman and Sammie Coates in a playoff game, you should be a bigger home dog than 2 points. Neither Coleman nor Coates are starting for the Eagles, but the fact that you probably didn’t double-check that lie says all you need to know about the Eagles’ current WR corps. Should the Eagles keep the magic alive against the Seahawks (they won’t), they would be an automatic “Looked a Little Too Good” team.
As for the Saints, I fully anticipate they will come out looking to right so many postseason wrongs this season. And it begins with a revenge game against the team on the winning side of the Minneapolis Miracle. The Saints will be so sick of hearing “DIGGS! SIDELINE! TOUCHDOWN!” that they will do everything in their power to make people forget that ever happened. Even still, the Saints could still win this game 31-13 and that would fall in line with my expectations. Therefore, they wouldn’t look “too good.”
Nothing about Houston or Buffalo looked good in Week 17. I am willing to wager that Josh Allen and Devin Singletary, while great against middling-to-bad squads, won’t be able to keep up with Houston, despite Bill O’Brien’s best effort. The Bills went 1-4 this year against playoff teams, with two losses coming to inter-divisional rival New England and making The Bills this years Good Bad Team. While both contests with the Pats were competitive, their failure to win either ultimately swung the division (and a first-round bye) to the Patriots. Houston, meanwhile, rested many of their starters in preparation for this opening-round game. Bill O’Brien will never be confused for Bill Belichick, and his postseason record reflects as much, at 1-3. Outside a 2-touchdown win by either team, there is really no way anyone leaves Houston looking a little too good.
That leaves us with Tennessee and New England. Either of these teams could easily be the “Looked A Little Too Good” Team. The Patriots are limping into the playoffs. After starting 8-0 against one of the easiest schedules in living memory, the Pats finished the season 4-4, with two wins and three losses coming against playoff teams (Eagles and Bills for the wins, Chiefs, Ravens and Texans for the losses). However, their other two wins were an ugly victory against the erratic Cowboys and a tanking Bengals. One of the losses isn’t bad as it came at the hands of the Super Bowl favorite Baltimore Ravens. However… the final game of the season, with a first-round by on the line, the Pats were playing at home against a Dolphins team who were a 16-point dog with nothing to play for... And the Pats promptly pooed all over themselves. We might easily look back on the 2019 season and say with certainty that it was the time that Brady fell off the map, but it was masked by a hot start. This game is a perfect opportunity to throw everyone off the current Brady scent. Cover the spread against a hot Tennessee team and the Pats will definitely move the line a point or 1.5 against the Ravens. It might even drop the line against Lamar Jackson and the Ravens to single digits. But it won’t be enough. Stay away from whichever team comes out of Foxboro, no matter what.

RULE No. 2: Don't bet against God, puppies or gambling theories from Pakistan.
Tim Tebow has been out of the league since 2015. Kurt Warner doesn’t want his sons to play football. Nick Foles has been banished to The Bad Place with the Jacksonville Jaguars. No obvious teams to avoid, except perhaps, based solely on their name, the Saints.

RULE NO. 3: Don't try to talk yourself into a "Nobody Believes In Us" team
I originally had a whole section typed up for this, but that was before the Minnesota Vikings and Philadelphia Eagles were LEFT OUT OF ALL OF THE NFL’S PROMOTIONAL PLAYOFF MATERIAL. When even your own league forgets about you, then you can claim the “Nobody Believes In Us” mantle. However, the Eagles are part of my section on why they can’t be the “Nobody Believes In Us” team, so I will keep that in (see below) and award the title of “Nobody Believes In Us Team” solely to the Minnesota Vikings with Philly as an honorary mention.
This is a rule that is part science, part art. So I will do my best to quantify some sub-rules that should be considered for this rule.
  1. If you have 12 wins or more, people automatically believe in you. That rules out Baltimore, Green Bay, New Orleans, San Francisco, Kansas City and New England
  2. If you’ve played in a Super Bowl in the last three years, people will remember those wins and therefore believe in you. That rules out New England (again) and Philadelphia
  3. If your quarterback has won an MVP in the last decade, your team is never really out of it and therefore, people believe in you. That rules out the Patriots (again again), The Packers and Chiefs (again).
Despite playing against each other in the Super Bowl only two years ago, the most likely “Nobody Believes In Us” teams this year are the Eagles and Patriots. This is also insane considering these two teams account for four of the last five Super Bowl titles. A crazier stat, 8 of the last 10 Super Bowl champions and 4 of the last 10 runners-up are playing in the postseason. But with New England clearly struggling and the Eagles players forming lines to get into the medical tent, these are the two teams most likely to have nobody believe in them. You too should not believe in them.
RULE NO. 4: Beware of any team that might use a major off-field distraction as a galvanizing force leading up to a big playoff game.
The Patriots could have qualified for this had the Antonio Brown story broke around Thanksgiving, but we’re now 3 months and 14 games since Mr. Big Chest left New England. By NFL standards, all the playoff teams are relatively tame. Either players are wising up and not behaving quite as badly, or players are wising up and are getting better at hiding their naughty behavior. Either way, no real team really falls into this camp.
RULE NO. 5: Beware of the “Everybody Believes In Us” team.
Lamar Jackson will undoubtedly win MVP. Anything else would be a travesty. But unfortunately, with that comes the expectation that everyone believes in you. After starting the season 2-2, Baltimore ripped off 12 straight wins, with five coming against playoff teams. Needless to say, the Baltimore Ravens are above and beyond the “Everybody Believes In Us” team.
RULE NO. 6: Never pick an underdog unless you genuinely believe that it has a chance to win.
Miraculously, Seattle is only a 2-point favorite so the easiest choice for this rule is Philadelphia. I know that they also get some juice for being an also-ran in the Nobody Believes In Us team, but playing at home is an enormous advantage. And while it’s not the early game, west coast teams traveling East have struggled. I don’t believe strongly enough in the Eagles winning outright so I’d advise betting the Hawks.
RULE NO. 7: Beware of all dome teams playing outdoors, especially in cold weather.
I have no idea what this means, but 10 of the 12 playoff teams play outdoors. That’s 83% of teams in the playoffs that play outdoors, while 75% of NFL stadiums are outdoors. I’m guessing this is just statistical noise, but I already typed this out and did the research so I’ll leave it in. In this postseason, only the Saints and Vikings play indoors. And if the Saints win, they’ll be off to… oh… oh no…. Well let’s just not be surprised if the Packers waltz into the Conference Championship game after Drew Brees is frozen in carbonite like Han Solo at the end of The Empire Strikes Back (If Bill were still alive, he would hate that a Star Wars reference was being used in his manifesto). I have an update to this stat from the last manifesto, and can confirm: Dome teams are 4-25 in the playoffs when they’re outdoors and it’s 35 degrees or colder. Now, if Minnesota pulls off the upset, play in Santa Clara. This rule doesn’t apply nearly as much as the current temps are in the 60s. That’s like August for Minnesotans. Feel free to discard this rule for the first round at least.
RULE NO. 8: Beware of any and all aging QBs in cold weather unless they drink half their body weight in water every day, get 10 hours of sleep, master every conceivable pliability exercise, have lots of sex with a supermodel wife, don’t drink alcohol, don’t eat inflammatory foods, don’t smoke or do drugs, improbably become faster in their late 30s and basically behave like an alien.
I think Bill sometimes writes these rules specifically with his team in mind.
RULE NO. 9: Severely discount anything that happened in the first five to six weeks of the regular season.
This is where I remind you that the Pats started the season not only 6-0, but 8-0 and then I think Bill sometimes writes these rules unintentionally with his team in mind. I also should remind you that the Bills started the season at 4-1 with their only loss coming against the aforementioned Pats. Since then, they are 6-5 and have put up 20 points or fewer in 6 of those games.
Meanwhile, since back-to-back losses to the Texans and Colts - as well as a lucky come-from-behind win against the Lions in one of the weirdest three-week stretches any team had this season - the Chiefs have been ON FIRE. The defense has steadily improved and Mahomes has the offense firing on all cylinders. They’ve scored at least 23 points since week 6.
RULE NO. 10: When in doubt, gravitate toward one pick that (a) would screw over the most gamblers and experts, and (b) would definitely go against the single worst gambler you know.
I don’t have an Adam Carolla in my life but I do have a few friends who thought that Oklahoma was gonna cover against LSU. And they seem to be picking the Chiefs. I’m quickly discovering this whole manifesto is a way for me to talk out of both sides of my mouth. No idea why Bill gave it up, it’s a blast!
RULE NO. 11: Don’t ever talk yourself into a terrible QB, ever, for any reason.
This season isn’t a truly TERRIBLE QB that is in the playoffs. No, Kirk Cousins isn’t a world-beater like his predecessor Case Keenum (I can sense some eye twitching coming up from the Super Dome) but he’s probably the closest thing to a terrible QB this postseason. But compared to past years of Conner Cook, TJ Yates and Andy Dalton, Cousins is a shining star of competence and consistency.
It’s an incomplete proxy to NFL ability, but 9 of the starting QBs in this postseason finished the season in the top 15 in fantasy points-per-game. Only Cousins (18), Tom Brady (17) and Jimmy Garoppolo (22) fall outside that range. I see Cousins as simply one more of a reason to stay away from betting Minnesota than I see him as the one negative that is stopping me from picking them.
RULE NO. 12: Beware of any team that celebrated the previous weekend’s victory like it had just won the Super Bowl.
Five of this year's playoff teams have backed into the postseason. Seattle lost to San Francisco, Houston lost to Tennessee, and we already mentioned New England. This rule really applies to wildcard teams because teams in the top 2-3 seeds definitely have higher aspirations and aren’t just happy to be here. The Bills, Vikings and Texans all lost but had nothing to play for. They most certainly don’t feel like they just won the Super Bowl.
Philadelphia (who I’ve already warned you about) fit this category pretty well. They not only won their fourth straight, but did it against all interdivisional rivals. That’s a pretty great way to do it, right? Not only do you win, but even better, your enemies lose.
In that vein, there’s one other team I’d worry about falling victim to this rule. I would worry juuuust a little about the 49ers. They didn’t simply lock up a playoff spot, they beat their divisional rival to take the 1-seed. With time off the field, is it possible that the 49ers lose their edge? It is, but I don’t even buy this cold take.
RULE NO. 13: Before you wager on a team, make sure “Marty Schottenheimer, Herm Edwards, Wade Phillips, Norv Turner, Andy Reid, Dan Quinn, John Fox, Jason Garrett, Anyone Named Mike, Anyone Described As Andy Reid’s Pupil and Anyone With the Last Name Mora” isn’t its head coach.
Andy Reid, you old so-and-so! Bill’s article was written back in January of 2018. Over a year before the AFC Championship game where, with 2:03 left in the fourth quarter, the Kansas City Chiefs drove down the field, scored the go-ahead TD and we as a collective footballing body said in unison “Oh they’ve scored too early.”
You all remember what happened next. Brady ran ANOTHER 2-minute drill, scored the TD and reminded everyone why they love and hate Brady like they love and hate Walter White “HE CANT KEEP GETTING AWAY WITH IT!” we all screamed at our televisions after the touchdown. Yes the Chiefs tied it to send it to OT but Brady just re-did exactly what he did at the end of the 4th quarter and banished Andy Reid to another year of NFL Bridesmaidery.
Andy Reid has learned his lessons. That is something we’ve all been saying since 2004.
And while Mike Zimmer (EDIT: And Mike Vrabel) both meet the “Mike” portion of this rule, Zimmer is like the Kirk Cousins of coaches. Merely another factor to sit the Minnesota game out and not some unknown variable. You know you’ll be glad you stayed away from Minnesota when it’s 10 minutes left in the first half, the Saints are up 20-3 and Joe Buck says “Let’s see if Kirk Cousins has a little bit of Case Keenum’s secret stuff”. And you’ll smile at your television because you know he does not. As for Mike Vrabel, I think he can keep it close in New England, having spent so much time there. He could win and cover the spread.
RULE NO. 14: Before every playoff game, rate the coaches and quarterbacks from 1 to 10, add up their scores, then make sure you’re OK backing a team with said score.
I wanted to tweak this rule just slightly. Instead of doing an arbitrary 1-10 valuation, I wanted to rank the coaches and the QBs 1-12 and then total up their scores, with low number being an indicator of a better combo. This may not work well, because you could say Lamar Jackson and Pat Mahomes both deserve that 1-spot. Or maybe you’d say both Kirk Cousins and Josh Allen deserve the 12 spot. But look at me. I’m the Sports Guy Now. So let me experiment.
Here are the results:
  1. Lamar Jackson (1) John Harbaugh (3)
  2. Drew Brees (4) Sean Payton (2)
  3. Pat Mahomes (2) Andy Reid (5)
  4. Russell Wilson (3) Pete Carroll (6)
  5. Tom Brady (8) Bill Belichick (1)
  6. Jimmy Garoppolo (7) Kyle Shanahan (4)
  7. Aaron Rodgers (6) Matt LaFleur (9)
  8. Carson Wentz (9) Doug Pederson (7)
  9. Deshaun Watson (5) Bill O’Brien (12)
  10. Ryan Tannehill (10) Mike Vrabel (8)
  11. Josh Allen (11) Sean McDermott (11)
  12. Kirk Cousins (12) Mike Zimmer (10)
This was a surprisingly difficult exercise. A quarter of the coaches on the list are first-timers: Vrabel, Shanahan and LaFleur. These are all Known Unknowns. Who knows what Jimmy G and Shanahan in the postseason are capable of together. Same for Tannehill and Vrabel. For teams like the Packers, coaching doesn’t much matter. Aaron Rodgers is going to give you a boost no matter who's calling the plays. You want to believe the 1-seed is safe, but going through this manifesto, I’m feeling like going to end up staying away from the 49ers, except for one bet. Right now, a George Kittle MVP futures bet is sitting at +3,300. If the 49ers have any chance at a Super Bowl, they're going to be leaning on Gronk 2.0. Put $10 on it and enjoy your $330.
After the Known Unknowns, we have the Unknown Knowns. This is Pete Carroll, Doug Pederson, Sean McDermott and Mike Zimmer. All have had some level of success but all have left the postseason feeling disappointed. Pete Carroll is one Marshawn Lynch run away from a second Super Bowl. Doug Pederson is so much a wildcard that who knows who he is. Sean McDermott has one other playoff appearance so he’s not entirely known, especially with Josh Allen, but having watched the Bills play the last 4 weeks of the season like it's the playoffs, I feel like I know McDermott’s Bills. Mike Zimmer is a perpetual yo-yo vacillating between euphoria with a touch of good luck (DIGGS! SIDELINE! TOUCHDOWN) and sheer horror with a pound of bad luck (we’re only a few postseasons removed from when Blair Walsh missed a field goal from the 10-yard line! I know it’s unfair to criticize kickers. They have an outsized role in games and they are often the first target of ire for fans. They’re kinda like refs in that you know they’re there and an integral part of the game, but you hate how hugely important they are). Have these men learned past lessons? It’s unknown.
Lastly, we have our Known Knowns. Led by the leader of the Known Knowns, Bill Belichick, this group also includes Sean Payton, John Harbaugh, and for less jubilant reasons, Andy Reid and Bill O’Brien. It would not surprise me if any of these coaches won the whole thing (with one obvious exception). They are all at their peak, and that is a compliment (with one obvious exception) and all have QBs that fall into one of two lists: He is either so incredibly talented that he can win you the game single handedly or he was once so incredibly talented and has been around long enough that while he’s become slightly less talented, he’s far more intelligent than the opposing defense.
As for the QBs, there are some of the same issues. 8 of these QBs have some postseason experience. Wentz, Tannehill, Allen and Garoppolo have not played a postseason game before. So these four are easily Known Unknowns.
Our Unknown Knowns:
Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson & Kirk Cousins. All three have played in, and lost, one playoff game in their careers. While we think we know Lamar after his MVP 2019 season, anyone who watched the Divisional Round game last year against the Chargers will know that NOBODY was putting big bucks down on a Lamar-for-MVP futures bet. This will be Cousins first postseason game since 2015 when he played for the Washington Professional Football Franchise. I’ve already discussed his known quantities, but he is such a high-variance play, he’s still unknown in the postseason. Watson has shown since college that he can win, but what does Bill O’Brien have hidden up his sleeve?
The Known Knowns:
Pat Mahomes is what Lamar and Deshaun will be next year at this time. He’s already had his incredible playoff run that was turned sour by an inferior Pats team (it’s the fate that awaits all who challenge Vader and the Emper- sorry, Brady and Belichick). Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers round out the Known Knowns. To paraphrase the late Dennis Green: THEY ARE WHO WE [Think] THEY [are]! Each has the pedigree and tenure to lead their teams to a title and each (aside from Brady) can benefit their legacy greatly by winning one more ring, or in Mahomes’s case, a first ring.
RULE NO. 15: Don’t try to be a hero, just try to win money.
This article is getting long and has given me a new appreciation for the sheer volume of content that Simmons put out. In honor of that, I am taking his passage from the 2018 manifesto and simply updating the names for 2020. Back then, he wrote:
Take it from the guy who talked himself into Miami’s backup QB in Pittsburgh last January. My case included tidbits like “Could Adam Gase put himself on the map as this year’s Hot New Coach?” and “Could [Matt] Moore manage the game, avoid turnovers and make a couple of big throws?” before I ultimately and hilariously decided, “I’m grabbing the 10 points even if it violates about four different Playoff Manifesto rules.” The Dolphins lost 30-12. Don’t be a hero.
So I will just say:
Take it from the guy who talked himself into CHICAGO’S STARTING QB in CHICAGO last January. My case included tidbits like “Could MATT NAGY put himself on the map as this year’s Hot New Coach?” and “Could MITCH TRUBISKY manage the game, avoid turnovers and make a couple of big throws?” before I ultimately and hilariously decided, “I’m LAYING the 6.5 points even if it violates about four different Playoff Manifesto rules.” The BEARS lost ON A DOUBLE DOINK. Don’t be a hero.
We're just living in parallel universes.
RULE NO. 16: Take one last look at the quarterbacks.
I’m OK taking any of the Known Knowns and Lamar. The rest? We just don’t know enough. See rule 15
RULE NO. 17: There’s plenty of time to bet against any QB or coach.
Whoever comes out of that AFC 4-5 matchup between Houston and Buffalo either has to go to an amped-up Baltimore or Kansas City in the dead of winter. Sit the wildcard game out and put whatever you would’ve bet on that game, put it on Lamar + John Harbaugh or Mahomes + Andy Reid in the Divisional round.
My picks for Round 1 …
(All picks losers or your money back)
(Home teams in CAPS.)
SAINTS (-8) over Vikings
New Orleans is going to do everything possible to have people forget about the 2018 Divisional Round game. And while that won’t happen, people might remember the 2009 matchup where the Saints came out on top and forced Brett Favre into retirement. Minnesota will need Dalvin Cook healthy. If he’s not ready, Stefon Diggs, Mike Boone and Alexander Mattison are basically the MadCatz GameCube controller version of Michael Thomas, Alvin Kamara, and Latavius Murray’s PS2 controller. As the game goes on and New Orleans puts up points by land and by air, the Vikings will be forced to make riskier and risker moves; which is NOT what this Vikings team was built on. As they do, the Saints secondary picks apart Cousins and Dalvin is pulled midway through the 4th. Saints win in a blowout 31-13 and it’s never close
Titans (+4.5) over PATRIOTS
Some day, Tom Brady will be done. He’s already looked done in the regular season. But Brady doesn’t care about the regular season. To him and the undying machine that is the New England Patriots, the postseason is the only time that matters. He will drag this Pats team kicking and screaming to one more victory. I can feel it in my bones. Pats win 24-20, and we take this as a sign of Brady’s mortality. Because good teams win, but great teams like Tennessee cover.
TEXANS (-2.5) over Bills
AKA The Shakeys Game. I have no idea what to think about this one. Both teams gave us nothing the final week of the season. In theory, there is lot of offensive firepower on the Houston side versus a stout Buffalo defense. And on the other side, a middling Buffalo offense against a so-so Houston defense. In the end, give me the team with Deshaun and Nuk over Josh Allen and John Brown and I’ll lay the points. Texans win, 23-16
Seahawks (-2.5) over EAGLES
This game will swing on one thing: Carson Wentz. He is the Three-Six Mafia of quartebacks: The Most Known Unknown. His wide receivers are actually unknown unknowns because we can’t be certain 1) he has any receivers and 2) that they’ve ever played professional football before this weekend. Yes Seattle is limping into the postseason (1-3 in their last 4), but with Marshawn back and a few more practices under his belt (and also, is it possible that Travis Homer is actually good? 62 rush yards and 30 receiving yards against SF is nothing to joke about) this team is ready to make a surprise run. But they can’t risk overlooking the Eagles, who they already played in Philadelphia and beat. I predict the Eagles will jump out to a hot start only to be let down by their anemic defense and near-dead wide receivers. Seahawks pull away late in the 4th and win 28-23.
If you’ve made it this far, I commend and appreciate you. I hope you enjoyed this iteration of the manifesto. If you do decide to take any of my stupid recommendations, In the words of Hill Street Blues (a show I only know about because of previous Gambling Manifestos), let’s be careful out there.

TL;DR: I miss Bill Simmons the writer. If you're gonna gamble, don't pick the Vikings with their sub-par (by playoff standards) QB. Don't pick the Saints to get much past round 2 when they have to go Green Bay in round 2. Everyone believes in the Ravens. Therefore, you shouldn't. The Eagles are too much of an unknown to be trusted. Andy Reid should never be trusted. The Pats will probably win it all, despite no one thinking they will.
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[Game Preview] Week 12 - Philadelphia Eagles(5-5) vs. Seattle Seahawks (8-2)

Philadelphia Eagles (5-5) vs Seattle Seahawks(8-2)
The Eagles need a win to keep pace with the Dallas Cowboys in the NFC East as they take on the team the Eagles just lost to in the New England Patriots. Getting a win this week will be no easy task though as the Eagles welcome the Seattle Seahawks to town. Russel Wilson is having an MVP season and has had the Eagles number since entering the league going 3-0 against his fellow Bird team. The Eagles will need to limit Wilson much like they limited Brady last week against the Patriots, but this time they will need help from the offense which disappearing in the middle of the second quarter last week with plenty of blame to go around from Wentz, the WRs and most importantly the coaching staff abandoned the run and failed to put the team in position to win, completely abandoning the run, despite averaging 4 yards per carry at the time. The Eagles offensive coaching staff needs to be better this week in creating a game plan and putting their guys in position to win, especially if the defense plays possessed like they did last week. Groh and Pederson need to get Carson going early and utilize the screen game to get the Seahawks defense moving laterally and off balance to help slow down their pass rush. The Seahawks have given up a lot of yards to TEs this season and 4 TDs so there should be opportunities for Ertz and Goedert. I think we should also look for the debut of Jay Ajayi in his return to the midnight green. Look for Ajayi to take some of the short yardage snaps that are normally reserved for Howard as he looks to miss his second straight game. If the Eagles can get their run game going and control the clock while limiting Wilson when he has the ball it should put them in position to steal a win from the Seahawks. Go Eagles!
General Information
Posting Rules and Guidelines
Remember to Join us on Discord during the game!
New to the Eagles? Take a look at our New Fan Page!
Date
Sunday, November 24th, 2019
Game Time Game Location
1:00 PM - Eastern Lincoln Financial Field
12:00 AM - Central 1020 Pattison Ave
11:00 AM - Mountain Philadelphia, PA 19148
10:00 AM - Pacific Wikipedia - Map
Weather Forecast
Stadium Type: Open Air
Surface: Grass
Temperature: 42°F
Feels Like: 36°F
Forecast: Possible Light Rain. Partly cloudy throughout the day.
Chance of Precipitation: 51%
Cloud Coverage: 100%
Wind: NNW 12 MPH
Betting Odds
Oddsshark Information
Favorite/Opening Line: Philadelphia -1
OveUnder: 48
Record VS. Spread: Eagles 4-6, Seahawks 5-5
Where to Watch on TV
*FOX will broadcast Sunday’s game to a regional audience. Kevin Burkhardt will handle play-by-play duties and Charles Davis will provide analysis. Pam Oliver will report from the sidelines.
TV Map - Week 12 TV Coverage Map
Internet Streams
NFL Streams - Look here 30 minutes before the game for Streams
Radio Streams
Disclaimer: Subscription Based Official NFL Radio Streams available via TuneIn
List of Eagles Radio network member stations with internet broadcast availability
Radio.com 94.1 Desktop Streaming
Listen to Merrill Reese and Mike Quick
Calling the game on 94WIP and the Eagles Radio Network will be Merrill Reese, the NFL’s longest-tenured play-by-play announcer (42nd season). Joining Reese in the radio booth will be former Eagles All-Pro wide receiver Mike Quick, while Howard Eskin will report from the sidelines.
Location Station Frequency
Philadelphia, PA WIP-FM 94.1 FM and 610 AM
Allentown, PA WCTO-FM 96.1 FM
Atlantic City/South Jersey WENJ-FM 97.3 FM
Levittown, PA WBCB-AM 1490 AM
Northumberland, PA WEGH-FM 107.3 FM
Pottsville, PA WPPA-AM 1360 AM
Reading, PA WEEU-AM 830 AM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WAFL-FM 97.7 FM
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, PA WEJL-FM 96.1 FM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WAFL-FM 97.7 FM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WEJL-AM 630 AM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WBAX-AM 1240 AM
Williamsport, PA WBZD-FM 93.3 FM
Wilmington, DE WDEL-FM/AM 101.7 FM
York/LancasteHarrisburg, PA WSOX-FM 96.1 FM
Philadelphia Spanish Radio
Rickie Ricardo, Macu Berral and Gus Salazar will handle the broadcast in Spanish on Mega 105.7 FM in Philadelphia and the Eagles Spanish Radio Network.
Location Station Frequency
Philadelphia, PA LA MEGA 105.7 FM
Allentown, PA WSAN 1470 AM
Atlantic City, NJ WIBG 1020 AM; 101.3 FM
Seahawks Radio
Seahawks Radio Network Steve Raible returns for his 37th season in the radio booth, his 15th as the play-by-play announcer and “Voice of the Seahawks” after 22 seasons as the Seahawks analyst. Former Seahawks LB will provide his view as an analyst.
National Radio
Sports USA will broadcast the game to a national audience with Larry Kahn on play-by-play and Brandon Noble providing analysis and Tory West reporting from the sidelines.
Satellite Radio
Station Eagles Channel Seahawks Channel
Sirius Radio SIRI 98 (Internet 825) SIRI 127 (Internet 828)
XM Radio XM 233 (Internet 825) (Internet 828)
Sirius XM Radio SXM 233 (Internet 825) SXM 381 (Internet 805)
Eagles Social Media Seahawks Social Media
Website Website
Facebook Facebook
Twitter Twitter
Instagram Instagram
Snapchat: Eagles Snapchat: Seahawks
NFC East Standings
NFC EAST Record PCT Home Road Div Conf PF PA Net Pts Streak
Cowboys 6-4 .600 3-2 3-2 4-0 5-3 286 197 +89 1W
Eagles 5-5 .500 3-2 2-3 1-1 3-4 234 230 +4 1L
Giants 2-8 .200 1-4 1-4 1-2 2-5 203 289 -86 6L
Redskins 1-9 .100 0-5 1-4 0-3 0-6 108 219 -128 4L
Series Information
The Seattle Seahawks lead the Philadelphia Eagles (9-7)
Series History
Head to Head Box Scores
First Game Played
December 12th, 1976 at Veteran's Stadium Philadelphia, PA. Philadelphia Eagles 27 - Seattle Seahawks 10
Points Leader
Seattle Seahawks lead the Philadelphia Eagles (333-310)
Coaches Record
Doug Pederson: 0-2 against the Seahawks
Pete Carroll: 4-1 against Eagles
Coaches Head to Head
Doug Pederson vs Pete Carroll: Carroll leads 2-0
Quarterback Record
Carson Wentz: Against Seahawks: 0-2
Russell Wilson: Against Eagles: 3-0
Quarterbacks Head to Head
Carson Wentz vs Russell Wilson: Wilson leads 2-0
Records per Stadium
Record @ Lincoln Financial Field: Seahawks lead the Eagles: 3-0
Record @ CenturyLink Field: Seahawks lead 3-2
Rankings and Last Meeting Information
AP Pro 32 Ranking
Eagles No. 15 - Seahawks No. 4
Record
Eagles: 5-5
Seahawks: 8-2
Last Meeting
Sunday, Dec 3rd, 2017
Seahawks 24 – Eagles 10
Russell Wilson was pushed out of the pocket most of the day, but the Eagles pass rush, but the rush failed to get home and the Seahawks snapped the Eagles 9 game winning streak mainly thanks to Wilson. napped Philadelphia's nine-game winning streak thanks largely to another brilliant performance by its quarterback. Wilson was 20 of 31 for 227 yards and threw touchdowns of 11 yards to Jimmy Graham, 1-yard to Tyler Lockett and the TD to McKissic after the Eagles had trimmed the lead to seven. Wentz had two costly turnovers including a fumble at the Seattle 1. The Seattle defense held the top scoring Eagles offense in check and won 24-10.
Click here to view the Video Recap
Click here to view the Stats Recap
Last 10 Meetings
Date Winner Loser Score
12/3/17 Seahawks Eagles 24-10
11/20/16 Seahawks Eagles 26-15
12/07/14 Seahawks Eagles 24-14
12/01/11 Seahawks Eagles 31-14
11/02/08 Eagles Seahawks 26-7
12/02/07 Seahawks Eagles 28-24
12/05/05 Seahawks Eagles 42-0
12/08/02 Eagles Seahawks 27-20
09/23/01 Eagles Seahawks 27-3
09/06/98 Seahawks Eagles 38-0
Injury Reports Depth Charts
Eagles Eagles
Seahawks Seahawks
2019 “Expert” Picks
Week 12 - "Expert" Picks
2019 Team Stats
Eagles Season Stats
Seahawks Season Stats
2019 Stats (Starters/Leaders)
Passing
Name CMP ATT PCT YDS TD INT RAT
Wentz 190 303 62.7% 2060 15 4 93.7
Wilson 224 327 68.5% 2737 23 2 114.9
Rushing
Name ATT YDS YDS/G AVG TD
Howard 119 525 53.6 3.3 6
Carson 200 853 85.3 4.3 4
Receiving
Name REC YDS YDS/G AVG TD
Ertz 55 621 58.6 11.3 2
Lockett 62 793 73.7 12.8 6
Sacks
Name Sacks Team Total
Graham 6.0 25
Clowney/Kendricks 3.0 20
Tackles
Name Total Solo Assist Sacks
McLeod 51 29 22 0
Wagner 97 50 47 2.0
Interceptions
Name Ints Team Total
Gerry 2 8
Thompson 2 8
Punting
Name ATT YDS LONG AVG NET IN 20 TB BP
Johnston 42 2007 60 46.0 36.0 15 3 0
Dickson 45 2084 63 46.3 40.7 18 4 0
Kicking
Name ATT MADE % LONG PAT
Elliot 13 13 100.0% 53 21/23
Myers 19 14 73.7% 54 27/29
Kick Returns
Name ATT YDS AVG LONG TD
Sanders 14 314 22.4 67 0
Lockett 12 224 20.3 33 0
Punt Returns
Name RET YDS AVG LONG TD FC
Scott 6 43 7.2 13 0 4
Lockett 13 66 5.1 20 0 9
League Rankings 2019
Offense Rankings
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Seahawks Stat Seahawks Rank
Total Offense 337.8 23rd 389.1 4th
Rush Offense 122.7 11th 133.2 6th
Pass Offense 215.1 24th 255.9 10th
Points Per Game 23.4 14th 27.5 7th
3rd-Down Offense 46.0% 5th 40.5% 14th
4th-Down Offense 33.3% 25th(t) 50.0% 11th(t)
Red Zone Offense (TD%) 62.5% 9th(t) 67.5% 4th
Defense Rankings
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Seahawks Stat Seahawks Rank
Total Defense 323.5 9th 372.9 24th
Rush Defense 86.0 5th 101.1 12th
Pass Defense 237.5 24th 271.8 28th
Points Per Game 23.0 14th 25.4 23rd
3rd-Down Defense 36.2% 12th 35.3% 10th
4th-Down Defense 55.6% 22nd(t) 66.7% 26th(t)
Red Zone Defense (TD%) 58% 20th(t) 54.4% 12th
Team
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Seahawks Stat Seahawks Rank
Turnover Diff. -2 20th(t) +6 5th(t)
Penalty Per Game 6.6 8th 7.1 15th(t)
Penalty Yards Per Game 56.1 9th(t) 57.4 13th
Connections
Eagles HC Doug Pederson was born in Bellingham, WA, and grew up in Ferndale, WA. Pederson recently admitted that he "Grew up a Seahawks Fan" and used to attend Seahawks games at The Kingdome.
Eagles LBs coach Ken Flajole is from Seattle and previously coached the Seahawks’ DBs (1999, 2001-02) and LBs (2000).
Eagles Safeties coach Tim Hauck played for the Seahawks in 1997.
Eagles Defensive Line coach Phillip Daniels was selected by Seattle in the 4th round of the 1996 NFL Draft.
Seahawks Northeast Area Scout Todd Brunner worked for the Eagles for four seasons (1994-97) as an area scout covering the Northeast. He joined the Eagles as a scouting intern in 1992 and worked as a scouting assistant in 1993.
Eagles CB Sidney Jones attended University of Washington.
Seahawks LB Mychal Kendricks played 6 seasons for the Eagles from 2012-2017 including winning a Super Bowl with him in Super Bowl LII.
2019 Pro Bowlers
Eagles Seahawks
DT Fletcher Cox (Starter) P Michael Dickson (Starter)
OG Brandon Brooks (Starter) LB Bobby Wagner
TE Zach Ertz (Starter) QB Russel Wilson (1st Alt)
OT Lane Johnson (1st Alt)
SS Malcom Jenkins (1st Alt)
Recap from Last Week 11’s Games.
Eagles
Video
The Eagles jumped out to a quick 10-0 lead on the Patriots in the first half, but the offense sputtered after that, despite a strong showing from the defense which held the Patriots to just 17 points. After driving down the field 95 yards and scoring a touchdown, the Eagles forgot how to run the football. The loss of RT Lane Johnson to a concussion certainly didn’t help the Eagles ability to run the ball and neither did the brief loss of Sanders in the 3rd quarter, but Doug Pederson and Mike Groh completely abandoned the run game early despite averaging over 4 yards per carry. The Patriots climbed back into the game with 3 field goals and took the lead in the 3rd with a trick play and Edleman throwing a TD pass to Dorsett. The Eagles offense continued to flounder, but had a chance late before Carson Wentz missed 3 straight passes that would have given Eagles a first down. Despite those missed, Wentz put a TD pass on a dime to Nelson Agholor only for the ball to hit him right in both hands and fall to the ground handling the Eagles the fifth loss of the season. Do make matters worse Agholor sprained his already weak confindence on the way down and has missed practice this entire week.
Seahawks
Seahawks were on bye week 11.
General
Referee: Walt Anderson
Philadelphia owns a 7-9 (.438) record vs. Seattle all-time. The Eagles are aiming for their first win against the Seahawks since a 26-7 road victory on 11/2/08.
Philadelphia has produced the 5th best third-down offense (46.0%) in the NFL, trailing only Dallas (52.1%), Baltimore (49.1%), Oakland (47.6%), and San Francisco (47.4%).
The Eagles rank 4th in rush defense (86.0), trailing only NYJ (79.1), Tampa Bay (80.9), and New Orleans (85.3)
Under Doug Pederson (since 2016), the Eagles own a 4-2 record (.667) against NFC West opponents, winning each of the last 2 matchups as well as 4 of the last 5
Since 2017, Carson Wentz ranks 3rd in the NFL in passing TD’s per game (2.1), trailing only Patrick Mahomes (2.7) and Russell Wilson (2.2)
Carson Wentz has thrown a TD pass in 13 consecutive regular-season games, which is tied with Russell Wilsonfor the longest active streak in the NFL.
Miles Sanders is the first NFL RB to record at least 600 scrimmage yards and 300 return yards in his first 10 career games since Adrian Peterson in 2007.
Brandon Graham has totaled a team-leading 6.0 sacks, with 5.0 of them coming on third down (tied for 5th-most in the NFL.
Draft Picks
Eagles Seahawks
OT Andre Dillard DE L.J. Collier
RB Miles Sanders S Marquise Blair
WR JJ Arcega-Whiteside WR DK Metcalf
WR Shareff Miller LB Cody Barton
QB Clayton Thorson WR Gary Jennings Jr.
G Phil Hayes
CB Ugo Amadi
LB Ben Burr-Kirven
RB Travis Homer
DT Demarcus Christmas
WR John Ursua
Notable Off-season Additions
Eagles Seahawks
WR Desean Jackson DE Jadeveon Clowney
DT Malik Jackson DE Ziggy Ansah
DE Vinny Curry DT Al Woods
DT Hassan Ridgeway WR Josh Gordon
QB Josh McCown QB Geno Smith
G Mike Iupati
K Jason Myers
FB Nick Bellore
Notable Off-season Departures
Eagles Seahawks
QB “Big Dick” Nick Foles FS Earl Thomas
DE Michael Bennett SS Kam Chancellor
DE Chris Long WR Doug Baldwin
S Chris Maragos QB Brett Hundley
RB Jay Ajayi DE Frank Clark
RB Josh Adams K Sebastian Janikowski
RB Wendell Smallwood G J.R. Sweezy
DT Haloti Ngata CB Justin Coleman
DT Shamar Stephen
SS Maurice Alexander
Milestones
Eagles TE Zach Ertz (31) needs 1 TD to move up to 10th on the Eagles all-time receiving TD list all-time tying WR ** to 10th all-time tying WR Ben Hawkins.
Eagles TE Zach Ertz (5448) needs 52 yards to most up to 6th on the Eagles all-time receiving yards list passing Eagles FL and NFL HoF Tommy McDonald.
Eagles WR **Jordan Matthews (2979) needs 21 yards for 3000 career receiving yards.
Eagles WR Jordan Matthews (2979) needs 89 yards for to move up to 20th on the Eagles all-time receiving list passing WR **Irving Fryar
Eagles WR Jordan Matthews (21) needs 2 TDs for to move up to 18th on the Eagles all-time receiving TD list tying TE **Chad Lewis
Eagles S Malcolm Jenkins's (4) needs 1 more Interception for a TD to tie CB Eric Allen (5) for most Interceptions for a TD by an Eagles player.
Eagles RB Miles Sanders needs (374) needs 264 rushing yards to break LeSean McCoy’s Eagles record for most rushing yards by a rookie in a season.
Eagles RB Miles Sanders needs (688) needs 321 yards of total offense to break Desean Jackson’s Eagles record for most yards of total offense by a rookie in a season.
Eagles QB Carson Wentz (86) needs 5 TDs to move up to 5th on the Eagles all-time passing TD list moving ahead of QB Tommy Thompson.
Eagles DE Brandon Graham (48.5) needs 1.5 sacks for 50 career sacks.
Eagles DE Brandon Graham (48.5) needs 2 sacks to move into a tie for 5th on the Eagles all-time sack list tying DE Greg Brown.
Pro Football Focus Matchup Charts courtesy of PFF Edge (join.profootballfocus.com/edge/)
WDB Matchups (CAPS = expected shadow coverage)
Stats to Know
Defensive Backfield Coverage Stats: Targets and Yards After Catch per Reception
If you had to guess which of the CBs, SS, and LBs with a meaningful number of snaps for these two teams had the worst number of Targets per Reception, who would you guess it to be? If you guessed the most athletic LB the Eagles have...you’d be right. Kamu Grugier Hill has a ratio of 1 target per 1 reception (11:11) so far this season, on 102 coverage snaps, good for 309th/314 in a combined grouping. For an apt comparison, Angry Bird (Mychal Kendricks) is only 274th, allowing 1.17 targets per reception (34 targets for 29 receptions). Bradham is 271st and Wagner is 267th Best of the bunch? CB Jalen Mills (14th) Safeties Diggs & McDougald are 18th and 25th.
Now let’s switch over to YAC per Reception Which CB, S, or LB has been best between these two teams in limiting YAC per catch? Sorry, let me rephrase that. Which CB, S, or LB between these two teams has thus far--despite missing some time--has the lowest YAC/Rec total in the league? Ladies and Gentlemen...CB Jalen Mills has allowed 10 YAC on 11 receptions. S Tedric Thompson comes in as the #5 Safety or 15th overall. CB Ronald Darby comes in at 29th (15th CB). The worst offenders? S Diggs has allowed 38 YAC on 3 receptions (3rd-worst) and LB KGH is 16th-worst with 104 YAC on 11 receptions.
Matchups to Watch
Russell Wilson vs. the Eagles Pass Rush
Last time these two teams faced off, the Eagles defensive line was dominating the Seattle offensive line, but their failure to get to Russell Wilson and contain him help cost them the game. Wilson torched the Eagles to the tune of throwing for 227 yards 3 TDs and a 118.7 passer rating. Wilson routinely broke contain to extend plays and wear out the Eagles defense. The Seahawks line is banged up and has struggled this season, so Graham and Cox should be able to get penetration. Wilson will be facing the same secondary, so it is going to be up Schwartz and the guys up front to scheme and keep Wilson off balance. And prevent him from taking shots down field to his group of speedy WRs. Schwartz will most likely look to spy Wilson, some possible candidates are new Eagle Gerald Avery who came to a Hybrid from the Browns and has the athleticism to go sideline to sideline and shadow Wilson. The other option, would be to have Jenkins shadow Wilson, which Schwartz has done in the past. Either way, the Eagles will need to give extra attention to Wilson and not allow him to take over the game, or else it is going to be a long day for the Eagles D.
Eagles TEs vs the Seahawks safeties and LBs
If Mike Groh and Doug Pederson watch any film while making their game plan they will see this is a matchup they should try to exploit. The Seahawks have allowed 51 receptions for 615 yards and 4 TDs to opposing tight ends this season which is the 7th most yards given up by any team with 3 of those having played an extra game. With Alshon and Agholor questionable, look for the Eagles to leverage a lot of 12 man personnel and try to exploit this weakness with Goedert and Ertz. If Wentz can get the intermediate game going with these two, it should open up things for the running backs, both in the short passing game and the rushing attack. The key to beating this Seahawks game will be having a balanced attack and maintaining drives to give the Eagles front seven a rest from chasing Wilson all over the field. The tight end should also play a role in the redzone where the Seahawks have the 12th best redzone D. If those two can get going and provide an outlet to Wentz, the Eagles offense should be able to get going and put some points on the board.
Seahawks WRs vs the Eagles Secondary
The Eagles secondary is healthy and has looked good in the last two games against the Bears and the Patriots. While both of those teams have good number 1 options in Robinson and Edelman, their next options at WR are not at the level of the Patriots. At the same time, they don’t have the speedsters the Seahawks do to stretch the field, or a running back as strong as Carson to take some pressure off the pass rush. The Eagles DBs will be put to the test, if they can step up to the plate and take care of business like last week against the Patriots the Eagles will be in a position to win the game in the 4th quarter. One of those WRs the DBs will have to worry about will be Josh Gordon who the Eagles could have claimed off waivers after he was released by the Patriots 3 weeks ago. Gordon caught some clutch balls last week and should be a bigger part of the game plan this week coming off the bye. Another of those WRs if DK Metcalf who the Eagles could have selected in the draft instead of JJ Arceda-Whiteside. The last WR and biggest threat is Tyler Lockett who has emerged as the number one target for Wilson this season. If Schwartz is smart we will be running some cover 2 robber to prevent big plays over the top and have a man to account for Wilson. The coverage should give the corners help to prevent the big play. If the Eagles DBs can shut down the WRs and force Wilson to dump it off short, it should keep the game close and give them a chance to win.
Special thanks to abenyishay for their help in creating this Game Preview.
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[Game Preview] Week 11 - Philadelphia Eagles(5-4) vs. New England Patriots (8-1)

Philadelphia Eagles (5-4) vs New England Patriots(8-1)
The last two Super Bowl Champions face off in a rematch of Super Bowl LII. It is the first time the two teams will meet since the Eagles defeated New England in Minneapolis 41-33. However it is the Patriots who are the defending champs after winning Super Bowl LIII last season. The Patriots come to the Linc following their first loss of the season at the hands of the Ravens in week 9. Both teams look much different than last time they faced off, as this will be the first time Carson Wentz takes on Brady and Belichick. It will be no easy task for Wentz has he faces off against the league’s top rated pass defense and will do it without his top two WRs in Desean Jackson and Alshon Jeffrey also looks to miss the contest. Look for the Eagles to establish the run early with Jordan Howard and rookie Miles Sanders. The Eagles will also look to get help from some familiar faces they brought back this week in WR Jordan Matthews and RB Jay Ajayi. Ajayi was brought into to replace the injured Darren Sproles who went on the IR Friday with a torn hip flexor. On the other side of the ball the Eagles struggling pass defense got back on track the last two weeks beating up Josh Allen and Mitch Trubisky, but they will face a whole nother animal this week when future Hall of Fame QB Tom Brady comes to town. Brady torched the Eagles secondary in Super Bowl LII to the tune of 505 yards, 3 TDs and no touchdowns. The Eagles secondary will have to be better this week if the Eagles hope to come out with a win. They will look for help from the pass rush which has come alive of late with 7 sacks in their last two games. They need need to get pressure on Brady and force him to dump it down and prevent the big play, something the Eagles have struggled with this season. If the Eagles can control the tempo and use the running game to give Tom Brady off the field, they have a shot to hand the Patriots their second loss of the season.
General Information
Posting Rules and Guidelines
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Date
Sunday, November 17, 2019
Game Time Game Location
4:25 PM - Eastern Lincoln Financial Field
3:25 PM - Central 1020 Pattison Ave
2:25 PM - Mountain Philadelphia, PA 19148
1:25 PM - Pacific Wikipedia - Map
Weather Forecast
Stadium Type: Open Air
Surface: Grass
Temperature: 38°F
Feels Like: 29°F
Forecast: Possible Light Rain. Partly cloudy throughout the day.
Chance of Precipitation: 39%
Cloud Coverage: 100%
Wind: NNE 16 MPH
Betting Odds
Oddsshark Information
Favorite/Opening Line: New Endland -3.5
OveUnder: 45
Record VS. Spread: Eagles 4-5, Patriots 6-3
Where to Watch on TV
*CBS will broadcast Sunday’s game to a regional audience. Jim Nantz will handle play-by-play duties and Tony Romo will provide analysis and call the plays before they happen. Tracy Wolfson will report from the sidelines.
TV Map - Week 11 TV Coverage Map
Internet Streams
NFL Streams - Look here 30 minutes before the game for Streams
Radio Streams
Disclaimer: Subscription Based Official NFL Radio Streams available via TuneIn
List of Eagles Radio network member stations with internet broadcast availability
Radio.com 94.1 Desktop Streaming
Listen to Merrill Reese and Mike Quick
Calling the game on 94WIP and the Eagles Radio Network will be Merrill Reese, the NFL’s longest-tenured play-by-play announcer (42nd season). Joining Reese in the radio booth will be former Eagles All-Pro wide receiver Mike Quick, while Howard Eskin will report from the sidelines.
Location Station Frequency
Philadelphia, PA WIP-FM 94.1 FM and 610 AM
Allentown, PA WCTO-FM 96.1 FM
Atlantic City/South Jersey WENJ-FM 97.3 FM
Levittown, PA WBCB-AM 1490 AM
Northumberland, PA WEGH-FM 107.3 FM
Pottsville, PA WPPA-AM 1360 AM
Reading, PA WEEU-AM 830 AM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WAFL-FM 97.7 FM
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, PA WEJL-FM 96.1 FM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WAFL-FM 97.7 FM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WEJL-AM 630 AM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WBAX-AM 1240 AM
Williamsport, PA WBZD-FM 93.3 FM
Wilmington, DE WDEL-FM/AM 101.7 FM
York/LancasteHarrisburg, PA WSOX-FM 96.1 FM
Philadelphia Spanish Radio
Rickie Ricardo, Macu Berral and Gus Salazar will handle the broadcast in Spanish on Mega 105.7 FM in Philadelphia and the Eagles Spanish Radio Network.
Location Station Frequency
Philadelphia, PA LA MEGA 105.7 FM
Allentown, PA WSAN 1470 AM
Atlantic City, NJ WIBG 1020 AM; 101.3 FM
Patriots Radio
Patriots Radio Network Socci returns for his seventh season in the booth as play-by-play broadcasters on 98.5 The Sports Hub. Socci is joined in the booth by former Patriots quarterback Scott Zolak, who's entering his eighth season as action analyst.
National Radio
ESPN Radio will broadcast the game to a national audience with Adam Amin on play-by-play and Jack Del Rio providing analysis and Sal Paolantonio reporting from the sidelines.
Satellite Radio
Station Eagles Channel Patriots Channel
Sirius Radio SIRI 82 (Internet 825) SIRI 134 (Internet 805)
XM Radio XM 227 (Internet 825) (Internet 820)
Sirius XM Radio SXM 227 (Internet 825) SXM 384 (Internet 805)
Eagles Social Media Patriots Social Media
Website Website
Facebook Facebook
Twitter Twitter
Instagram Instagram
Snapchat: Eagles Snapchat: Patriots
NFC East Standings
NFC EAST Record PCT Home Road Div Conf PF PA Net Pts Streak
Cowboys 5-4 .556 3-2 2-2 4-0 4-3 251 170 +81 1L
Eagles 5-4 .556 3-1 2-3 1-1 3-4 224 213 +11 2W
Giants 2-8 .200 1-4 1-4 1-2 2-5 203 289 -86 6L
Redskins 1-8 .111 0-4 1-4 0-3 0-6 108 219 -111 3L
Series Information
Philadelphia Eagles lead the New England Patriots in the series, 8-6 (7-5 regular season; 1-1 in playoffs)
Series History
Head to Head Box Scores
First Game Played
November 4, 1973 at Veterans Stadium in Philadelphia, PA. Philadelphia Eagles 24 – New England Patriots 23
Points Leader
The Philadelphia Eagles lead the New England Patriots (345-326)
Coaches Record
Doug Pederson: 1-0 against the Patriots
Bill Belichick: 4-2 against Eagles
Coaches Head to Head
Doug Pederson vs Bill Belichick: Pederson leads 1-0
Quarterback Record
Carson Wentz: Against Patriots: 0-0
Tom Brady: Against Eagles: 4-2
Quarterbacks Head to Head
Carson Wentz vs Tom Brady: First meeting between the QBs
Records per Stadium
Record @ Lincoln Financial Field: Patriots lead 2-0
Record @ Gillette Stadium: Patriots lead 2-1
Rankings and Last Meeting Information
Rankings and Last Meeting Information
AP Pro 32 Ranking
Eagles No. 12 - Patriots No. 2
2019 Record
Eagles: 5-4
Patriots 8-1
Last Meeting
Sunday, February 4th, 2019
Eagles 41 - Patriots 33
In a record-setting shootout between backup QB Foles and five-time champ Brady of the favored Patriots, it was the Eagles who came out victorious. The combined 1,151 yards were the most in any modern NFL game. The game started slow the the teams trading field goals on their opening drives before Fole connected with Jeffrey on a 36 yard TD pass to give the Eagles the 10-7 lead. The Eagles extended the lead after a 4th down stand where they drove down the field and scored on a 21 yard run. The Patriots answered with a FG and a James White TD run following a Nick Foles INT to cut the lead to 15-12 with just over 2 minutes to go in the half. The Eagles marched down the field and went for it on 4th and 1 from one yard line using the now famous Philly Special where Trey Burton hit Nick Foles in the Endzone to give the Eagles a 22-12 lead heading into halftime. The two teams traded scores following half time with the Patriots cutting the lead to one point midway through the 4th on a Gronkowski TD reception. However the Eagles responding with a 7 minute TD drive of their own that ending in a Zach Ertz TD reception. After failing to convert a 2 point conversion. The Patriots got the ball back and Brady looked primed to launch a comeback, but on the second play of the drive he was strip sacked by Brandon Graham and Derek Barnett recovered. The Eagles took an additional minute off the clock before a 46 yard Jake Elliott FG sealed it for the Eagles. Brady got another shot with a minute left in the game, but with no timeouts time wasn’t on his side as the Eagles hung on to give them their first Super Bowl Championship.
Click here to view the Video Recap
Click here for box score
Last 10 Meetings
Date Winner Loser Score
02/04/18 Eagles Patriots 41-33
12/06/15 Eagles Patriots 35-28
11/27/11 Patriots Eagles 38-20
11/25/07 Patriots Eagles 31-28
02/06/05 Patriots Eagles 24-21
09/14/03 Patriots Eagles 31-10
12/19/99 Eagles Patriots 24-9
11/04/90 Eagles Patriots 48-20
11/29/87 Eagles Patriots 34-31
12/09/84 Eagles Patriots 27-17
Injury Reports Depth Charts
Eagles Eagles
Patriots Patriots
2019 “Expert” Picks
Week 11 - "Expert" Picks
2019 Team Stats
Eagles Season Stats
Patriots Season Stats
2019 Stats (Starters/Leaders)
Passing
Name CMP ATT PCT YDS TD INT RAT
Wentz 190 303 62.7% 2060 15 4 93.7
Brady 230 355 64.8% 2536 14 5 93.1
Rushing
Name ATT YDS YDS/G AVG TD
Howard 119 525 53.6 4.4 6
Michel 144 482 52.3 3.3 3
Receiving
Name REC YDS YDS/G AVG TD
Ertz 46 527 58.6 11.5 2
Edelman 63 663 73.7 10.5 4
Sacks
Name Sacks Team Total
Graham 6.0 24
Collins 6.0 32
Tackles
Name Total Solo Assist Sacks
McLeod 49 27 22 0
Collins 48 38 10 6.0
Interceptions
Name Ints Team Total
Gerry 2 8
D.McCourty 5 19
Punting
Name ATT YDS LONG AVG NET IN 20 TB BP
Johnston 34 1467 60 47.6 43.1 13 2 0
Bailey 48 2141 63 44.6 42.0 21 2 0
Kicking
Name ATT MADE % LONG PAT
Elliot 12 12 100.0% 53 20/22
Folk 2 2 100% 22 2/2
Kick Returns
Name ATT YDS AVG LONG TD
Sanders 14 314 22.4 67 0
Bolden 10 227 2.7 28 0
Punt Returns
Name RET YDS AVG LONG TD FC
Sproles 11 86 7.8 17 0 7
Olszewski 20 179 8.9 22 0 16
League Rankings 2019
Offense Rankings
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Patriots Stat Patriots Rank
Total Offense 347.0 20th 366.8 15th
Rush Offense 127.3 11th 92.9 23rd
Pass Offense 219.7 21st 273.9 7th
Points Per Game 24.9 13th 30.0 2nd
3rd-Down Offense 48.4% 3rd 39.7% 16th
4th-Down Offense 35.3% 24th 50.0% 14th(t)
Red Zone Offense (TD%) 63.3% 8th 50.0% 21st(t)
Defense Rankings
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Patriots Stat Patriots Rank
Total Defense 326.3 8th 249.3 1st
Rush Defense 87.3 4th 99.1 11th
Pass Defense 239.0 16th 150.2 2nd
Points Per Game 23.7 15th 10.9 1st
3rd-Down Defense 36.9% 12th 18.9% 1st
4th-Down Defense 55.6% 22nd(t) 35.7% 4th
Red Zone Defense (TD%) 60.7% 25th 45.5% 4th
Team
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Patriots Stat Patriots Rank
Turnover Diff. -1 18th(t) +17 1st
Penalty Per Game 6.6 8th 6.2 7th
Penalty Yards Per Game 58.0 14th 53.8 7th
Connections
Eagles LB/K Kamu Grugier-Hill was drafted by the New England Patriots in the 6th round of the 2016 NFL Draft, he was waived Patriots during final roster cuts and claimed by the Eagles.
Patrick Chung signed with the Eagles in 2013 and he played one season with the team before being released and returning to the Patriots.
Eagles Owner Jeffrey Lurie grew up as a Patriots fan and attempted to purchase Patriots in 1993 before being outbid by Robert Kraft. He purchased the Philadelphia Eagles the following season.
Patriots FB James Devlin grew up in the Philadelphia suburb of Gilbertsville, PA and attended Boyertown High School.
Jim Schwartz was a personnel scout for the Cleveland Browns from 1993-1995 while Bill Belichick was the Head Coach.
Eagles DB Coach Cory Undlin was a defensive assistant under Bill Belichick for the Patriots in 2004.
Eagles TE coach Eugene Chung played three seasons for the Patriots from 1992-1994.
Patriots Special Teams Coordinator Joe Judge was born in Philadelphia and attended Lansdale Catholic High School.
Patriots backup QB Cody Kessler was with the Eagles in training camp in 2019 before being cut by the team.
Eagles WR Jordan Matthews played one season for the Patriots in 2018 before he was released.
2019 Pro Bowlers
Eagles Patriots
DT Fletcher Cox (Starter) QB Tom Brady
OG Brandon Brooks (Starter) CB Stephen Gilmore
TE Zach Ertz (Starter)
Recap from Last Week 9’s Games.
Eagles
Video
The Eagles defense suffocated the Mitch Trubisky led Bears holding them to just 9 yards in the first half, where the Bears trailed 19-0 heading into halftime. The Bears went three-and-out on their first five possessions, gaining minus-10 yards. They didn't get a first down until the final minute of the first half. David Montgomery got the game close in the 4th quarter with a pair of 1 yard touchdown runs. But Philadelphia put it away with 16-play, 69-yard drive capped by Jake Elliott's 38-yard field goal. Wentz completed all four of his third-down passes on the drive for first downs, and the Eagles held the ball for 8:14. The Bears muffed the kick on the ensuing kick and the Eagles recovered to run out the clock and give them the win.
*Patriots
Video From the start of the game the Patriots defense struggled to contain the elusive Lamar Jackson. Jackson and the Ravens jumped out to an early 17-0 lead. The Ravens let the Patriots back into the game after shooting themselves in the foot with a muffed punt that led to an easy Patriots TD. And a Ingram fumble led to an easy FG for Nick Folk and the Ravens took only a 17 point lead into the half. The Patriots looked to be marching down the field in the 3rd before Julien Edleman was stripped and Marlon Humphrey returned it 70 yards for a touchdown. The two teams traded touchdowns before a Tom Brady INT and a methodical 9:35 drive by Baltimore led to another TD to seal the game and end New England’s 13 game winning streak dating back to last season.
General
Referee: Bill Vinovich
The Eagles last played the Patriots in Super Bowl LII, capturing a 41-33 victory to win their first Super Bowl in franchise history.
Including playoffs, Philadelphia owns an 8-6 (.571) record vs. New England all-time (1-0 under Doug Pederson)
Including playoffs, Philadelphia has the 2nd-best home winning percentage (.767, 23-7) in the NFL since 2016, trailing only New England (.879, 29-4).
The Eagles have won 8 of their last 12 contests (.667) at Lincoln Financial Field, as well as 17 of their last 22 home games (.773) overall (including playoffs).
Since becoming the Eagles coach in 2016, Doug Pederson and the Eagles are 2-1 following the bye week.
Since becoming Patriots head coach in 2000, Bill Belichick has recorded a 14-5 mark in the regular season coming off a bye.
Eagles and Patriots will meet in the regular season for the first time since Dec. 6, 2015, when Philadelphia beat New England, 35-28, at Gillette Stadium. This week will mark the Patriots first trip to Philadelphia since Nov. 27, 2011, when the Patriots left with a 38-20 victory.
Philadelphia has produced the 3rd best third-down offense (48.4%) in the NFL, trailing only Dallas (51.4%) and Baltimore (48.6%).
Since 2016, Jordan Howard ranks 2nd in the NFL in rushing yards (3,895), 3rd in rushing attempts (897) and tied for 5th in rushing TDs (30).
Miles Sanders ranks 3rd among NFL running backs in scrimmage yards per touch (6.5), trailing only Duke Johnson (6.8) and James White (6.7). (minimum 75 touches)
The Eagles rank 4th in rush defense (87.3), trailing only Tampa Bay (77.8), NYJ (81.9), and Houston (84.2).
The Patriots defense is leading the league with 19 interceptions through nine games, on pace for 33 on the season. Their 19 picks are already more than the Patriots recorded in 27 of their previous 59 seasons. The most interceptions in the Belichick era was 29 by the 2003 Patriots team.
Draft Picks
Eagles Patriots
OT Andre Dillard WR N’Keal Harry
RB Miles Sanders CB Joejuan Williams
WR JJ Arcega-Whiteside DE Chase Winovich
WR Shareff Miller RB Damien Harris
QB Clayton Thorson OT Yodny Cajuste
OG Hjalte Froholdt
QB Jarrett Stidham
DE Byron Cowart
P Jake Bailey
CB Ken Webster
Notable Off-season Additions
Eagles Patriots
WR Desean Jackson RB Brandon Bolden
DT Malik Jackson LB Jamie Collins
DE Vinny Curry FS Terrence Brooks
S Andrew Sendejo TE Matt LaCosse
DT Hassan Ridgeway TE Benjamin Watson
QB Josh McCown C James Ferentz
OT Marshall Newhouse
QB Cody Kessler
CB Justin Bethel
K Nick Folk
Notable Off-season Departures
Eagles Patriots
QB “Big Dick” Nick Foles TE Rob Gronkowski
DE Michael Bennett DE Adrian Clayborn
DE Chris Long P Ryan Allen
S Chris Maragos OT Trent Brown
RB Jay Ajayi DT Malcom Brown
RB Josh Adams DE Trey Flowers
RB Wendell Smallwood WR Chris Hogan
DT Haloti Ngata WR Cordarrelle Patterson
CB Eric Rowe
OT LaAdrian Waddle
Milestones
Eagles TE Zach Ertz (31) needs 1 TD to move up to 10th on the Eagles all-time receiving TD list all-time tying WR ** to 10th all-time tying WR Ben Hawkins.
Eagles TE Zach Ertz (5354) needs 10 yards to most up to 7th on the Eagles all-time receiving yards list passing Eagles TE/HB Bobby Watson.
Eagles WR Jordan Matthews (2973) needs 27 yards for 3000 career receiving yards.
Eagles WR Jordan Matthews (2973) needs 95 yards for to move up to 20th on the Eagles all-time receiving list passing WR Irving Fryar
Eagles WR Jordan Matthews (21) needs 2 TDs for to move up to 18th on the Eagles all-time receiving TD list tying TE Chad Lewis
Eagles S Malcolm Jenkins's (4) needs 1 more Interception for a TD to tie CB Eric Allen (5) for most Interceptions for a TD by an Eagles player.
Eagles RB Miles Sanders needs (336) needs 302 rushing yards to break LeSean McCoy’s Eagles record for most rushing yards by a rookie in a season.
Eagles RB Miles Sanders needs (641) needs 368 yards of total offense to break Desean Jackson’s Eagles record for most yards of total offense by a rookie in a season.
Patriots WR Julian Edleman (34) needs 3 TDs to move up to 8th on the Patriots all-time receiving TD list tying WR Wes Welker.
Patriots WR Julian Edleman (6053) needs 314 receiving yards to move up to 4th on the Patriots all-time receiving list passing WR Tory Brown.
Patriots QB Tom Brady (531) needs 8 more TD passes to tie the record for most TD passes in the regular season tying QB Peyton Manning. Saints QB Drew Brees on the list with 525 TDs.
Patriots QB Tom Brady(39) needs 1 game with 30 completions to give him 40 games career games with 30 or more completions, breaking a tie with QB Peyton Manning for second-most in NFL history. QB Drew Brees is first with 62 such games.
Pro Football Focus Matchup Charts courtesy of PFF Edge (join.profootballfocus.com/edge/)
[WDB Matchups (CAPS = expected shadow coverage)] To be added when available
Stats to Know
An Odd Year for Brady and Play Action Passing
Historically, Tom “Can’t-Catch-a-Wide-Open-Pass-When-It-Counts” Brady has been near tops in the league in both percentage of dropbacks in Play Action and in Play Action Passer Rating. In 2019, those numbers are down, however, as Brady is 19th in PA % (25.9%) down from 4th at 31.4% last season. While the PA % is down this year from last, it’s still above many previous seasons; it’s just that more teams are employing Play Action at a high frequency, this season. Additionally, typically we see good teams (QBs) have a higher Passer Rating in Play Action than not. Brady is typically not unique in that regard...except this season his PA Passer Rating is only 3.1 points higher than non-PA Passer Rating (95.4 & 92.3) The non-PA Passer Rating is good for 14th, while the PA Passer Rating is good for 27th.
Matchups to Watch
Patriots Secondary vs Eagles Passing Attack
The Patriots and Eagles enter this contest coming off a bye. Prior to the bye, the Patriots defense has been playing at close to historical level per DVOA. It is an incredibly diverse defense that can cover and rush the passer at an elite level. Their defense forces a lot of turnovers and seems to score with more efficiency than some NFL offenses. The Patriots are coming off a loss after playing their first real team of the season; even though Baltimore was able to find success against the Patriots vaunted defense, it is still an incredibly talented unit. The Eagles passing offense has been woefully inept for most of the season forcing them to essentially be a run first team like last year’s Patriots… but without the defense. The Eagles will enter the game with a sorry ass receiving core that could be missing their top target in Alshon Jeffrey. It’s been stunning to watch Agholor regress from the consistently poor play we’ve gotten from him but it goes to show it is possible to hit new lows. Mack Hollins is booty cheeks and JJAW can’t even see the field. The Eagles were wise to re-sign Jordan Matthews, but he’s not the kind of player that can fix this unit. Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert are playing very well but it’s hard to have a passing offense run through tight ends. The Eagles will need their big men to show up as well as have Miles Sanders continue to be a dynamic receiver in space out of the backfield. Opposite them will be Stephon Gilmore – the best CB in the NFL – and a complete secondary that can take away good passing offenses. I would expect the Patriots to take away Ertz and Goedert, forcing the WRs to step up which they likely can’t. The Eagles are more than capable of winning this game but this matchup presents a significant challenge for an already questionable air attack.
Patriots Defensive Front vs Eagles Offensive Line
As previously mentioned, the Eagles are a run first team out of necessity. They are able to function this way due to their terrific offensive line, coaching, and run game diversity. Jordan Howard has played really well for the Eagles when they need a back to create out of structure. While Miles Sanders has struggled as a runner in his early career, he has been showing incremental progress as he gains more experience at the position. This offensive line gets a second crack at a Belichick defense, two years removed from dominating their defensive front in Super Bowl 52. This isn’t the same Patriots defense we saw in February 2008; that Patriots defense finished 31st in DVOA. The Patriots have a lot of good athletes that are disciplined and well-coached. This is a strength vs strength matchup that the Eagles need to win. Both organizations value high-level trench play since they can help control the game. Ideally, the Eagles would possess a better passing attack. Maybe that passing attack will be better after the bye week but no one should count on that at the moment. For now, Philadelphia needs to keep finding success with the diverse and dominating rushing attack to keep the offense on schedule against a very dangerous defense.
Patriots Passing Attack vs Eagles Secondary
The last two games have yielded good results for the Eagles defense; by reading the box scores, you be convinced that the Eagles defense has been completely fixed and they’ll have nothing to worry about. When you study the tape of these two games, you’ll realize the Eagles have been gifted by their opponents lack of real QBs. Tom Brady hasn’t been an electric passer this year nor do the Patriots run up the score like they have during other years in their dynasty with strong offensive performances. However, like the defense, this is a smart, well-coached offense that can take advantage of a defenses weakness. It’s obvious to everyone that even with the return of their injured CBs, the Eagles secondary is still a piece of work. Jalen Mills and Ronald Darby have stopped some of the bleeding but they are just lipstick on a pig. Philly’s LBs are still a bit of a liability, especially in the absence of Nigel Bradham, and will likely be exploited. Malcolm Jenkins has had a down year in coverage. Jim Schwartz, while a good DC, still has coverage assignments for his players at times that put them in lose/lose situations. The Patriots offense, led by Tom Brady, will see and exploit the weaknesses you have on your team. The Eagles are bad against play action – what do you think we’ll see? Defending screens are a problem… enter James White. Double moves? You got it. The defense has coverage breakdowns consistently against the Bills and Bears, they were just incapable of taking advantage of that. They no longer have the benefit of playing cupcake QBs. The Eagles offense isn’t built to run up the score quickly and are up against a top defense. Philadelphia’s defense needs to rise to the occasion and keep the Patriots off the scoreboard.
Special thanks to MikeTysonChicken and abenyishay for their help in creating this Game Preview.
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William Hill's 105 sports books across Nevada reported they had 58 percent of the tickets written on the Eagles, but 75 percent of the actual cash bet on the Bears. The lowest moneyline price in Vegas on the favorite, as of Sunday afternoon, was the Bears -170 at the Golden Nugget and the highest dog price was +160 at the South Point and MGM books. Eagles vs. Bears odds, line: 2019 NFL wild-card picks, best playoff predictions from red-hot model on 16-6 run SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated Sunday's Bears vs. Eagles game 10,000 Eagles vs. Bears Betting Line & Total. According to The Action Network, the Bears opened as -5.5 point favorites, the line went off and then it reopened at -7 in favor of Chicago.Currently, the Betting Line / Total: Chicago -6.5 / 41.5 Points. Eagles at Bears OddsShark Matchup Report. Chicago Bears. The Bears put together yet another masterful performance on defense last Sunday to wrap The Chicago Bears will face the Philadelphia Eagles in a Week 9 rematch of the 2018 Wild Card game. Betting line, odds, prediction and pick w/expert analysis.

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